elasticsearch/docs/reference/data-analysis/aggregations/_snippets/search-aggregations-metrics-percentile-aggregation-approximate.md
Craig Taverner d5ddb909a4
ESQL autogenerate docs v3 (#124312)
Building on the work started in https://github.com/elastic/elasticsearch/pull/123904, we now want to auto-generate most of the small subfiles from the ES|QL functions unit tests.

This work also investigates any remaining discrepancies between the original asciidoc version and the new markdown, and tries to minimize differences so the docs do not look too different.

The kibana json and markdown files are moved to a new location, and the operator docs are a little more generated than before (although still largely manual).
2025-03-13 14:16:46 +01:00

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There are many different algorithms to calculate percentiles. The naive implementation simply stores all the values in a sorted array. To find the 50th percentile, you simply find the value that is at my_array[count(my_array) * 0.5].

Clearly, the naive implementation does not scalethe sorted array grows linearly with the number of values in your dataset. To calculate percentiles across potentially billions of values in an Elasticsearch cluster, approximate percentiles are calculated.

The algorithm used by the percentile metric is called TDigest (introduced by Ted Dunning in Computing Accurate Quantiles using T-Digests).

When using this metric, there are a few guidelines to keep in mind:

  • Accuracy is proportional to q(1-q). This means that extreme percentiles (e.g. 99%) are more accurate than less extreme percentiles, such as the median
  • For small sets of values, percentiles are highly accurate (and potentially 100% accurate if the data is small enough).
  • As the quantity of values in a bucket grows, the algorithm begins to approximate the percentiles. It is effectively trading accuracy for memory savings. The exact level of inaccuracy is difficult to generalize, since it depends on your data distribution and volume of data being aggregated

The following chart shows the relative error on a uniform distribution depending on the number of collected values and the requested percentile:

percentiles error

It shows how precision is better for extreme percentiles. The reason why error diminishes for large number of values is that the law of large numbers makes the distribution of values more and more uniform and the t-digest tree can do a better job at summarizing it. It would not be the case on more skewed distributions.